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Red55
655820.9
763817.8
523421.1
Blue41
531417.0
634516.8
482713.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49350204060805541

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.6
16.717.3
Auto4.4
Teleop12.7
End4.1
red by 4.1
5314
#40
17.00.5
12.813.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Second
20.90.6
17.317.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.0
red by 4.1
6345
#20
16.80.5
11.011.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Third
17.80.6
12.012.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End3.6
red by 4.6
4827
#36
13.20.5
9.510.0
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsEarned14%HAB Docking oddsMissed