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Red44
14125.2
781612.2
554720.4
Blue53
439223.7
353722.8
598913.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54582040801004453

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#3
25.20.5
22.722.2
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End6.6
red by 1.5
4392
#10
23.70.3
18.217.9
Auto3.8
Teleop16.5
End3.4
Second
5547
#37
20.40.5
17.517.0
Auto3.5
Teleop14.1
End2.8
blue by 2.3
3537
#19
22.80.3
22.221.9
Auto5.5
Teleop15.1
End2.2
Third
7816
#16
12.20.5
11.310.8
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End3.2
blue by 1.3
5989
#29
13.50.3
14.213.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed