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Red41
609817.2
507216.2
608821.8
Blue35
570216.4
471516.4
587814.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454302060801001204135

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6088
#18
21.80.1
19.419.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End8.6
red by 5.4
4715
#24
16.40.4
13.713.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End3.9
Second
6098
#21
17.20.1
9.19.0
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End3.0
red by 0.8
5702
#38
16.40.4
15.415.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Third
5072
#22
16.20.1
14.414.2
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End3.5
red by 2.0
5878
#35
14.20.4
12.011.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed