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Red74
611316.8
439130.6
482713.2
Blue57
634516.8
570614.3
14125.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50472030406070807457

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.61.5
24.626.1
Auto3.6
Teleop18.8
End8.2
red by 5.4
141
#3
25.20.9
18.919.8
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End6.6
Second
16.81.5
13.214.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.3
Level
6345
#20
16.80.9
11.512.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Third
4827
#36
13.21.5
10.011.5
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End4.3
blue by 1.1
5706
#31
14.30.9
13.714.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed