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Red45
258615.7
497022.6
587814.2
Blue55
656929.6
725012.8
554720.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4549102030406070804555

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.2
16.016.1
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End6.1
blue by 7.0
29.60.5
21.522.0
Auto4.9
Teleop15.7
End9.0
Second
2586
#12
15.70.2
15.015.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.9
End3.3
blue by 4.7
5547
#37
20.40.5
16.617.2
Auto3.5
Teleop14.1
End2.8
Third
5878
#35
14.20.2
11.611.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End3.2
red by 1.4
7250
#25
12.80.5
8.79.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsEarned34%HAB Docking oddsMissed