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Red67
609817.2
159621.1
781612.2
Blue31
548614.7
507216.2
553413.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3340010205060706731

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1596
#15
21.11.8
15.116.9
Auto4.1
Teleop14.0
End3.0
red by 4.8
5072
#22
16.21.3
14.212.9
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End3.5
Second
6098
#21
17.21.8
9.010.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End3.0
red by 2.5
5486
#17
14.71.3
11.510.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End4.3
Third
7816
#16
12.21.8
6.88.6
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End3.2
blue by 1.5
5534
#41
13.61.3
12.511.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed