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Red43
553413.6
531417.0
498811.4
Blue68
507216.2
528221.9
14125.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375502060804368

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5314
#40
17.00.5
13.614.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End3.4
blue by 8.2
141
#3
25.21.1
19.820.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End6.6
Second
5534
#41
13.60.5
11.211.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 8.3
5282
#11
21.91.1
19.420.4
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End5.5
Third
4988
#27
11.40.5
10.010.6
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End3.5
blue by 4.8
5072
#22
16.21.1
12.913.9
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsEarned