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Red48
634516.8
85718.6
571412.0
Blue24
781612.2
771318.0
437716.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373902060804824

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#26
18.60.8
14.215.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End5.3
red by 0.6
7713
#13
18.00.9
15.314.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End2.7
Second
6345
#20
16.80.8
12.413.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.6
blue by 0.1
4377
#32
16.90.9
12.912.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End4.5
Third
5714
#34
12.00.8
8.79.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.8
End4.1
blue by 0.2
7816
#16
12.20.9
8.67.7
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed