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Red43
482713.2
598913.5
159621.1
Blue27
570614.3
498811.4
655820.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45470204060804327

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1596
#15
21.10.0
17.517.5
Auto4.1
Teleop14.0
End3.0
red by 0.2
20.91.1
19.117.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.0
Second
5989
#29
13.50.0
14.414.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End3.0
blue by 0.9
5706
#31
14.31.1
14.413.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.0
End3.9
Third
4827
#36
13.20.0
11.211.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End4.3
red by 1.8
4988
#27
11.41.1
10.69.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed