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Red46
531417.0
657317.7
471516.4
Blue73
781612.2
439223.7
360223.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4949354045556065704673

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6573
#30
17.70.0
18.118.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End2.8
blue by 6.0
4392
#10
23.71.8
16.718.5
Auto3.8
Teleop16.5
End3.4
Second
5314
#40
17.00.0
14.214.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End3.4
blue by 6.6
3602
#14
23.61.8
22.224.0
Auto3.9
Teleop15.6
End4.1
Third
4715
#24
16.40.0
13.813.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End3.9
red by 4.2
7816
#16
12.21.8
7.79.5
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed