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Red56
771318.0
548614.7
528221.9
Blue47
724417.8
482713.2
497022.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5550204060801005647

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5282
#11
21.90.3
21.722.0
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End5.5
blue by 0.7
22.60.0
18.918.9
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End6.1
Second
7713
#13
18.00.3
16.516.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End2.7
red by 0.2
7244
#23
17.80.0
16.116.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Third
5486
#17
14.70.3
13.714.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End4.3
red by 1.5
4827
#36
13.20.0
12.712.6
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsEarned