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Red55
531417.0
608821.8
570911.4
Blue61
598913.5
611316.8
778224.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4455204060805561

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6088
#18
21.80.9
17.618.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End8.6
blue by 2.6
24.40.6
21.922.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End8.8
Second
5314
#40
17.00.9
14.815.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End3.4
red by 0.3
16.80.6
16.016.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.3
Third
5709
#28
11.40.9
9.710.5
Auto4.8
Teleop4.4
End2.2
blue by 2.1
5989
#29
13.50.6
13.914.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned60%HAB Docking oddsEarned