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Red64
523421.1
725012.8
609817.2
Blue72
439015.2
353722.8
14125.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476202040806472

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.11.3
17.318.5
Auto4.4
Teleop12.7
End4.1
blue by 4.1
141
#3
25.20.9
22.223.1
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End6.6
Second
6098
#21
17.21.3
15.516.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End3.0
blue by 5.6
3537
#19
22.80.9
21.722.6
Auto5.5
Teleop15.1
End2.2
Third
7250
#25
12.81.3
12.113.4
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End3.4
blue by 2.4
4390
#33
15.20.9
14.415.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsEarned