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Red74
437716.9
531417.0
439223.7
Blue54
482713.2
554720.4
471516.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51500204060801001201407454

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#10
23.71.7
20.322.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.5
End3.4
red by 3.3
5547
#37
20.40.5
18.218.7
Auto3.5
Teleop14.1
End2.8
Second
5314
#40
17.01.7
15.317.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End3.4
red by 0.6
4715
#24
16.40.5
15.916.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End3.9
Third
4377
#32
16.91.7
13.014.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End4.5
red by 3.7
4827
#36
13.20.5
12.713.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed