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Red47
528221.9
570911.4
571412.0
Blue45
353722.8
781612.2
725012.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4851304060704745

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5282
#11
21.90.1
22.122.0
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End5.5
blue by 0.8
3537
#19
22.80.2
23.122.8
Auto5.5
Teleop15.1
End2.2
Second
5714
#34
12.00.1
12.112.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.8
End4.1
blue by 0.8
7250
#25
12.80.2
13.012.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End3.4
Third
5709
#28
11.40.1
11.511.4
Auto4.8
Teleop4.4
End2.2
blue by 0.8
7816
#16
12.20.2
12.412.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed