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Red54
78209.8
168431.8
55277.2
Blue65
20118.5
49427.1
477922.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415820305070805465

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.0
26.427.4
Auto4.5
Teleop19.1
End8.2
red by 4.7
494
#6
27.10.6
22.222.9
Auto5.6
Teleop15.9
End5.6
Second
7820
#34
9.81.0
6.47.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End2.6
blue by 12.9
4779
#10
22.80.6
16.216.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End6.6
Third
5527
#39
7.21.0
5.76.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End2.0
blue by 11.3
201
#20
18.50.6
16.817.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsEarned