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Red49
45317.1
720620.0
31315.5
Blue39
78209.8
509014.5
366727.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495920304070804939

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7206
#11
20.00.0
16.416.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.6
End3.9
blue by 7.5
3667
#19
27.61.1
30.829.6
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End8.9
Second
453
#16
17.10.0
12.812.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.3
End4.1
red by 2.6
5090
#38
14.51.1
17.616.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End4.9
Third
313
#27
15.50.0
17.017.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End3.3
red by 5.7
7820
#34
9.81.1
7.46.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed70%HAB Docking oddsEarned