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Red99
353424.1
285130.4
30228.2
Blue59
785411.8
516719.4
168431.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8058405070901009959

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.9
26.727.6
Auto5.3
Teleop17.5
End7.5
blue by 1.4
31.80.0
27.427.5
Auto4.5
Teleop19.1
End8.2
Second
302
#3
28.20.9
26.227.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End9.2
red by 8.8
5167
#35
19.40.0
17.217.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End3.7
Third
3534
#17
24.10.9
22.523.4
Auto4.6
Teleop16.7
End2.9
red by 12.3
7854
#36
11.80.0
10.810.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
70%HAB Docking oddsEarned46%HAB Docking oddsEarned