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Red79
168431.8
554718.7
20118.5
Blue60
515523.8
719216.5
781316.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64492030407080901007960

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.3
27.528.7
Auto4.5
Teleop19.1
End8.2
red by 8.0
23.80.9
20.121.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End7.5
Second
5547
#24
18.72.1
14.816.9
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End4.0
red by 2.2
7192
#23
16.50.9
13.514.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End2.3
Third
201
#20
18.51.3
17.919.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.1
End3.7
red by 2.2
7813
#33
16.20.9
12.313.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
78%HAB Docking oddsEarned52%HAB Docking oddsMissed