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Red51
45317.1
785411.8
413022.9
Blue50
118921.7
509014.5
724716.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4553102030406070805150

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.6
18.919.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End6.7
red by 1.3
1189
#14
21.70.2
18.618.4
Auto3.6
Teleop15.2
End2.9
Second
453
#16
17.10.6
12.813.4
Auto3.7
Teleop9.3
End4.1
red by 0.5
7247
#29
16.60.2
15.114.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Third
7854
#36
11.80.6
10.811.4
Auto4.8
Teleop3.3
End3.7
blue by 2.7
5090
#38
14.50.2
16.516.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed