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Red58
778313.5
21730.4
31315.5
Blue72
345229.8
608616.8
515523.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58652040801005872

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#5
30.40.2
25.225.4
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End7.7
red by 0.6
29.80.5
25.125.6
Auto5.3
Teleop14.9
End9.6
Second
313
#27
15.50.2
16.917.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End3.3
blue by 8.3
23.80.5
21.121.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End7.5
Third
7783
#32
13.50.2
13.013.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End3.0
blue by 3.3
6086
#30
16.80.5
15.716.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned89%HAB Docking oddsEarned