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Red73
516719.4
260412.9
592624.3
Blue61
586022.5
781316.2
584321.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48572040801007361

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5926
#15
24.31.8
20.121.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.0
End8.8
red by 1.8
5860
#12
22.50.5
21.521.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End7.7
Second
5167
#35
19.41.8
16.418.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End3.7
blue by 2.3
5843
#25
21.70.5
19.519.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.4
End3.5
Third
2604
#31
12.91.8
9.411.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.7
blue by 3.3
7813
#33
16.20.5
13.213.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsEarned51%HAB Docking oddsEarned