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Red79
168431.8
30228.2
118921.7
Blue40
634422.0
20118.5
778313.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865940801007940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.3
30.830.4
Auto4.5
Teleop19.1
End8.2
red by 9.8
22.01.0
22.221.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.4
End5.6
Second
302
#3
28.20.3
28.027.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End9.2
red by 9.7
201
#20
18.51.0
18.317.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.1
End3.7
Third
1189
#14
21.70.3
22.321.9
Auto3.6
Teleop15.2
End2.9
red by 8.2
7783
#32
13.51.0
14.913.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
26%Rocket oddsEarned6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
97%HAB Docking oddsEarned67%HAB Docking oddsMissed