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Red80
719216.5
749124.7
285130.4
Blue66
413022.9
724716.6
592624.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76633040507080901008066

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.6
29.830.4
Auto5.3
Teleop17.5
End7.5
red by 6.1
5926
#15
24.30.2
23.924.1
Auto5.6
Teleop10.0
End8.8
Second
7491
#21
24.70.6
25.426.0
Auto5.1
Teleop15.8
End3.8
red by 1.8
22.90.2
21.121.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End6.7
Third
7192
#23
16.50.6
16.316.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End2.3
blue by 0.1
7247
#29
16.60.2
14.915.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsEarned94%HAB Docking oddsEarned