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Red80
781316.2
168431.8
361914.0
Blue46
477922.8
586022.5
785411.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6058405070808046

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.9
29.830.8
Auto4.5
Teleop19.1
End8.2
red by 9.0
4779
#10
22.80.6
21.120.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End6.6
Second
7813
#33
16.20.9
13.914.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.1
blue by 6.3
5860
#12
22.50.6
22.722.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End7.7
Third
3619
#40
14.01.4
13.114.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End2.4
red by 2.1
7854
#36
11.80.6
10.710.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsEarned72%HAB Docking oddsEarned