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Red58
601913.7
516719.4
49427.1
Blue62
366727.6
749124.7
778313.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63712040801005862

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#6
27.10.1
25.024.9
Auto5.6
Teleop15.9
End5.6
blue by 0.4
3667
#19
27.60.4
27.827.4
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End8.9
Second
5167
#35
19.40.1
20.320.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End3.7
blue by 5.3
7491
#21
24.70.4
26.025.6
Auto5.1
Teleop15.8
End3.8
Third
6019
#28
13.70.1
14.814.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End3.2
red by 0.2
7783
#32
13.50.4
13.913.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsEarned65%HAB Docking oddsEarned