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Red50
724716.6
260412.9
31315.5
Blue79
168431.8
413022.9
353523.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49782040601005079

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7247
#29
16.60.2
15.816.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End3.5
blue by 15.2
31.80.4
30.430.8
Auto4.5
Teleop19.1
End8.2
Second
313
#27
15.50.2
17.217.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End3.3
blue by 8.1
3535
#18
23.60.4
22.022.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End5.9
Third
2604
#31
12.90.2
13.313.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.7
blue by 10.0
22.90.4
21.321.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed97%HAB Docking oddsEarned