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Red81
21730.4
555518.3
285130.4
Blue55
554718.7
781316.2
720620.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815640601008155

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#5
30.40.3
29.429.7
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End7.7
red by 10.3
7206
#11
20.00.1
19.619.8
Auto4.5
Teleop11.6
End3.9
Second
30.40.3
30.530.8
Auto5.3
Teleop17.5
End7.5
red by 11.7
5547
#24
18.70.2
18.518.7
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End4.0
Third
5555
#26
18.30.3
16.717.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.3
red by 2.0
7813
#33
16.20.1
14.915.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
62%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed