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Red91
168431.8
477922.8
634422.0
Blue59
716619.9
554718.7
45317.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7757405070901001109159

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.2
30.832.0
Auto4.5
Teleop19.1
End8.2
red by 11.9
7166
#22
19.90.4
19.419.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End3.0
Second
4779
#10
22.81.2
21.622.8
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End6.6
red by 4.1
5547
#24
18.70.4
18.719.1
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End4.0
Third
22.01.2
20.121.3
Auto4.9
Teleop11.4
End5.6
red by 4.9
453
#16
17.10.3
16.316.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
97%HAB Docking oddsEarned50%HAB Docking oddsMissed