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Red54
78209.8
608616.8
586022.5
Blue62
260412.9
366727.6
413022.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49663040607080901005462

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5860
#12
22.50.3
21.621.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End7.7
blue by 5.0
3667
#19
27.60.0
27.427.4
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End8.9
Second
6086
#30
16.80.3
16.516.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End3.4
blue by 6.1
22.90.0
21.621.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End6.7
Third
7820
#34
9.80.3
8.68.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End2.6
blue by 3.1
2604
#31
12.90.0
13.513.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsEarned93%HAB Docking oddsMissed