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Red80
571227.8
504629.2
59827.6
Blue56
261921.1
659714.3
520314.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675230406080908056

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.2
28.829.0
Auto5.8
Teleop16.7
End6.6
red by 8.1
2619
#17
21.10.1
20.920.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End2.4
Second
27.80.2
27.427.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.0
End9.9
red by 13.5
5203
#30
14.30.1
14.014.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End2.8
Third
5982
#35
7.60.3
7.27.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End2.4
blue by 6.6
6597
#13
14.30.1
14.014.1
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End1.8