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Red43
551719.6
522211.4
51569.1
Blue58
602026.8
553811.2
341423.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4064203050607080904358

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5517
#26
19.60.3
18.018.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End4.3
blue by 7.3
26.80.2
27.827.6
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End9.6
Second
5222
#34
11.40.4
11.011.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.9
End2.9
blue by 11.9
3414
#20
23.30.2
21.521.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End5.0
Third
5156
#38
9.10.4
9.19.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End2.9
blue by 2.1
5538
#19
11.20.2
11.411.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed76%HAB Docking oddsEarned