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Red59
377022.0
43829.2
261921.1
Blue61
606723.4
55048.5
521623.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5157304070805961

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#14
22.00.5
19.620.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End6.8
blue by 1.5
23.50.5
23.323.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End8.7
Second
2619
#17
21.10.5
20.420.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End2.4
blue by 2.2
23.40.5
23.123.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End7.6
Third
4382
#33
9.20.5
8.79.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.7
End2.5
red by 0.7
5504
#23
8.50.5
8.08.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed81%HAB Docking oddsEarned