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Red77
602026.8
663113.6
619323.8
Blue17
778410.1
59827.6
283421.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544202060807717

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.81.5
21.723.2
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End9.6
red by 5.7
2834
#10
21.21.5
21.119.6
Auto4.8
Teleop13.0
End3.4
Second
6193
#11
23.81.5
19.821.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End5.4
red by 13.6
7784
#28
10.12.5
8.76.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Third
6631
#25
13.61.5
9.811.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.0
End3.6
red by 6.0
5982
#35
7.62.5
9.87.3
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsEarned44%HAB Docking oddsMissed