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Red55
560314.1
551719.6
377022.0
Blue58
550917.7
516625.5
607119.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4551102030406070805558

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#14
22.00.6
17.317.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End6.8
blue by 3.5
25.50.4
17.417.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End7.2
Second
5517
#26
19.60.6
13.514.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End4.3
red by 0.1
6071
#21
19.40.4
15.816.3
Auto6.1
Teleop8.7
End4.6
Third
5603
#27
14.10.6
11.812.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End3.3
blue by 3.6
17.70.4
15.115.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsEarned