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Red44
436218.3
779113.4
655018.6
Blue26
719512.6
71887.0
722513.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36341020304050604426

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.61.1
13.914.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End3.6
red by 5.0
7225
#23
13.60.7
10.910.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End6.1
Second
4362
#13
18.31.1
12.813.8
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End4.2
red by 5.6
7195
#20
12.60.7
13.312.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End2.6
Third
7791
#15
13.41.1
7.68.7
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End2.8
red by 6.4
7188
#40
7.00.7
8.37.6
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsEarned