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Red35
505313.6
717817.3
309814.4
Blue48
370726.9
781811.6
52148.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5041203060703548

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7178
#29
17.31.3
16.515.2
Auto2.9
Teleop12.4
End2.0
blue by 9.6
26.91.0
18.419.4
Auto3.2
Teleop19.9
End3.9
Second
3098
#33
14.41.3
17.015.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End2.4
red by 2.7
7818
#37
11.60.6
11.211.8
Auto5.6
Teleop2.4
End3.7
Third
5053
#30
13.61.3
13.312.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End1.4
red by 5.2
5214
#28
8.31.0
9.210.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed