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Red37
661012.7
309814.4
655018.6
Blue53
46812.3
477621.7
560314.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444202060803753

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.60.5
14.914.4
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End3.6
blue by 3.2
4776
#19
21.71.5
16.017.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Second
3098
#33
14.40.5
15.715.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End2.4
red by 0.4
5603
#35
14.01.4
12.914.3
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End3.0
Third
6610
#38
12.70.3
11.411.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End2.1
red by 0.5
468
#21
12.30.9
10.711.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed