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Red44
607115.2
779113.4
654512.6
Blue36
781811.6
755321.2
719512.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374420304050604436

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6071
#17
15.20.3
15.615.9
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End3.9
blue by 6.1
21.20.5
17.416.8
Auto3.5
Teleop11.3
End6.4
Second
7791
#15
13.40.3
10.911.1
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End2.8
red by 0.8
7195
#20
12.60.6
12.612.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End2.6
Third
6545
#31
12.60.2
8.78.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End3.2
red by 0.9
7818
#37
11.60.4
11.511.1
Auto5.6
Teleop2.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed