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Red45
778310.7
516716.1
436218.3
Blue44
556216.1
619319.8
52148.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3942203050604544

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#13
18.30.8
14.415.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End4.2
blue by 1.5
6193
#12
19.80.5
15.315.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End4.1
Second
5167
#25
16.10.8
12.713.5
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.3
Level
5562
#27
16.10.3
14.614.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End3.9
Third
7783
#26
10.70.8
9.910.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End1.5
red by 2.3
5214
#28
8.30.5
9.710.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed