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Red41
658214.1
76899.2
705416.6
Blue26
609713.4
760210.8
345812.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34330204060801001204126

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7054
#11
16.60.9
11.812.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End3.8
red by 3.2
6097
#35
13.40.9
14.813.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End2.1
Second
6582
#22
14.10.9
12.513.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End4.1
red by 1.3
3458
#21
12.80.9
8.37.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End4.4
Third
7689
#24
9.20.9
8.39.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.2
End4.0
blue by 1.6
7602
#26
10.80.9
8.17.2
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed