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Red30
8589.7
524713.6
357222.6
Blue61
606515.9
361815.2
609024.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414502060803061

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.9
15.314.4
Auto2.9
Teleop11.3
End8.4
blue by 1.9
24.52.0
17.019.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End5.9
Second
5247
#33
13.60.9
9.08.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.7
End3.5
blue by 2.3
6065
#18
15.92.0
12.014.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.1
End2.7
Third
858
#36
9.70.9
14.113.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.8
End3.7
blue by 5.5
3618
#15
15.22.0
13.715.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed