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Red33
437617.6
760210.8
60059.9
Blue45
602021.7
433714.3
781013.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33350102030405060703345

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.60.1
16.416.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End8.1
blue by 4.1
21.71.3
12.013.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.6
End7.2
Second
7602
#26
10.80.1
7.27.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.1
blue by 3.6
4337
#20
14.30.8
11.111.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End3.6
Third
6005
#17
9.90.1
8.18.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.6
End3.3
blue by 3.1
7810
#30
13.11.3
9.911.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsEarned