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Red61
240516.9
171113.9
376718.3
Blue34
785511.3
656112.5
61284.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3930010205060706134

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#16
18.31.4
12.513.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.9
End2.6
red by 5.8
6561
#31
12.50.8
12.011.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End3.2
Second
16.90.8
11.011.8
Auto4.0
Teleop10.5
End2.5
red by 5.7
7855
#32
11.30.8
8.88.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End2.6
Third
1711
#25
13.91.4
13.314.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.9
End4.3
red by 9.4
6128
#38
4.50.8
7.36.5
Auto2.0
Teleop0.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed