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Red41
437617.6
609024.5
60987.6
Blue42
171113.9
357222.6
658214.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525140455560654142

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.8
22.021.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End5.9
red by 1.9
22.60.6
23.422.8
Auto2.9
Teleop11.3
End8.4
Second
17.60.8
17.116.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End8.1
red by 3.4
6582
#22
14.10.6
11.110.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End4.1
Third
6098
#37
7.60.8
9.78.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.0
blue by 6.4
1711
#25
13.90.7
14.013.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsEarned40%HAB Docking oddsEarned