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Red59
240516.9
612211.2
511421.9
Blue43
705416.6
609713.4
607410.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4636102030405060705943

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#13
21.90.4
21.021.4
Auto6.2
Teleop12.1
End3.6
red by 5.3
7054
#11
16.60.9
14.415.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End3.8
Second
16.90.4
14.114.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.5
End2.5
red by 3.5
6097
#35
13.40.9
9.710.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End2.1
Third
6122
#28
11.20.6
8.89.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End2.8
red by 0.9
6074
#34
10.30.9
9.810.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed