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Red50
354620.0
437617.6
656112.5
Blue63
606515.9
496717.8
716020.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5153204060801005063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.1
19.920.0
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End8.0
red by 0.1
20.01.0
18.819.8
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End3.6
Second
17.60.1
16.416.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End8.1
blue by 0.3
4967
#10
17.81.0
16.417.4
Auto2.9
Teleop8.4
End6.6
Third
6561
#31
12.50.1
12.412.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End3.2
blue by 3.4
6065
#18
15.90.9
15.316.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsEarned