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Red50
240516.9
60059.9
609713.4
Blue52
345812.8
8589.7
511421.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39451020305060705052

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.90.9
15.616.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.5
End2.5
blue by 4.9
5114
#13
21.90.6
21.322.0
Auto6.2
Teleop12.1
End3.6
Second
6097
#35
13.41.0
12.113.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End2.1
red by 0.6
3458
#21
12.80.7
12.012.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End4.4
Third
6005
#17
9.91.1
8.89.9
Auto2.0
Teleop4.6
End3.3
red by 0.2
858
#36
9.70.7
9.09.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed