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Red49
376718.3
360317.5
61284.5
Blue22
760210.8
43983.6
357222.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404302060804922

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#16
18.30.3
18.018.4
Auto3.8
Teleop11.9
End2.6
blue by 4.3
22.61.4
23.722.3
Auto2.9
Teleop11.3
End8.4
Second
3603
#14
17.50.3
16.216.5
Auto2.7
Teleop8.7
End6.1
red by 6.7
7602
#26
10.81.4
12.110.7
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.1
Third
6128
#38
4.50.3
4.24.5
Auto2.0
Teleop0.6
End1.9
red by 0.9
4398
#39DQ
3.61.4
5.03.6
Auto1.7
Teleop-0.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed71%HAB Docking oddsMissed