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Red55
353423.5
546032.0
612017.0
Blue72
168431.9
721121.9
171822.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77712040601001205572

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.01.4
30.629.1
Auto5.7
Teleop19.3
End6.9
red by 0.1
1684
#12
31.90.3
27.427.8
Auto3.3
Teleop24.1
End4.5
Second
23.51.4
27.025.6
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End3.6
red by 1.3
22.10.3
18.518.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.4
End5.8
Third
6120
#21
17.01.4
15.614.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End4.8
blue by 5.0
21.90.3
21.321.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
27%Rocket oddsMissed17%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsEarned83%HAB Docking oddsMissed